Us-wa Olympic Peninsula

Elwha River Trail

Name: Condition analysis for Elwha River Trail
Creator: Loamcast
License: https://loamcast.com/terms

Mixed damp sections, slow drying in shade

Mixed / Damp Surface score, 1 avoid to 10 dry

Data confidence: Medium

Surfaceground

Tracktrail

Length42.52 km

Best windowLate afternoon

Surface: holds water and can become muddy.

Recent rain: moderate rain (8.5 mm) in the last 48h; surface is still drying.

Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.

Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

More nearby Country pages How it works Data sources

Dry Mixed Muddy

Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Elwha River Trail

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Elwha River Trail in Olympic Peninsula, Us-wa.

US-WA / Olympic Peninsula

Elwha River Trail

Length: 42.52 km

Surface Score

5 /10

Mixed / Drying

Elwha River Trail has mixed conditions with damp/muddy spots, currently drying after 8.5 mm of recent rain. Use caution on soft unpaved sections.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Use judgment Expect mixed surface conditions. Avoid low spots and turn back if the surface is deforming under tyres.

Still drying Rain is mostly older, but the 48h total is 8.5 mm. Shaded sections may lag behind the headline score.

Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.

Last updated: 2026-07-28 05:27 PDT (America/Los_Angeles) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is mixed / damp today

Surface: holds water and can become muddy.
Recent rain: moderate rain (8.5 mm) in the last 48h; surface is still drying.
Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.	Ground
Moisture Sensitivity Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.	High
Rutting & Washout Risk Damp or loose base. Risk of minor washouts, soft edges, and standing water puddles.	Moderate
Recent rain 8.5 mm in 48h, 17.7 mm in 72h.	1.4 mm / 24h
Weather pressure Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.	1.20x
Temperature Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.	11.8 °C
Humidity High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.	76%
Cloud Cover Overcast skies block direct sun, reducing drying speed.	48%
Segment spread 12 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.	5-6 / 10
Confidence Weather source: open-meteo-history + open-meteo-forecast.	Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date	Score	Label	Rain
2026-07-22	10/10	Dry / Fast	1.7 mm
2026-07-23	10/10	Dry / Fast	6.8 mm
2026-07-24	9/10	Dry / Fast	1.1 mm
2026-07-25	9/10	Dry / Fast	3.7 mm
2026-07-26	9/10	Dry / Fast	12.1 mm
2026-07-27	9/10	Dry / Fast	1.4 mm
2026-07-28	9/10	Dry / Fast	-

Explore Loamcast

Other Us-wa mud forecast pages → More routes in Olympic Peninsula → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →