Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Laurel Prong Trail

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Laurel Prong Trail in Shenandoah, Us-va.

US-VA / Shenandoah

Laurel Prong Trail

Length: 3.63 km

Surface Score
7 /10
Rideable / Mostly Dry
Laurel Prong Trail is generally rideable today, but soft shaded sections may still be damp after 5.4 mm of rain in the last 48 hours.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Generally rideable Conditions look usable, with minor damp spots still possible in shaded or lower sections.
Still drying Rain is mostly older, but the 48h total is 5.4 mm. Shaded sections may lag behind the headline score.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Last updated: 2026-07-28 08:27 EDT (America/New_York) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is good today

  • Surface: holds water and can become muddy.
  • Recent rain: moderate rain (5.4 mm) in the last 48h; surface is still drying.
  • Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
  • Confidence: High — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Ground
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Damp or loose base. Risk of minor washouts, soft edges, and standing water puddles.
 Moderate
Recent rain
5.4 mm in 48h, 6.2 mm in 72h.
 1.1 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.65x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 20.4 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 79%
Cloud Cover
Overcast skies block direct sun, reducing drying speed.
 100%
Segment spread
3 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 7-8 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: open-meteo-history + open-meteo-forecast.
 High

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-07-22 10/10 Dry / Fast 11.5 mm
2026-07-23 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-07-24 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-07-25 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.8 mm
2026-07-26 10/10 Dry / Fast 1.9 mm
2026-07-27 9/10 Dry / Fast 3.5 mm
2026-07-28 9/10 Dry / Fast -

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