Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Graveyard Ridge Trail

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Graveyard Ridge Trail in Pisgah / Brevard, Us-nc.

US-NC / Pisgah / Brevard

Graveyard Ridge Trail

Length: 5.48 km

Surface Score
7 /10
Rideable / Mostly Dry
Graveyard Ridge Trail is generally rideable today, but soft shaded sections may still be damp after 1.7 mm of rain in the last 48 hours.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Generally rideable Conditions look usable, with minor damp spots still possible in shaded or lower sections.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Last updated: 2026-07-28 08:34 EDT (America/New_York) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is good today

  • Surface: paved surface drains quickly and does not accumulate mud.
  • Recent rain: no measurable rain in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Unpaved
Road Solidity
Loose soil or sand, deforms under pressure.
 Soft / Loose Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
1.7 mm in 48h, 14.1 mm in 72h.
 0.4 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 1.10x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 19.6 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 54%
Cloud Cover
Overcast skies block direct sun, reducing drying speed.
 46%
Segment spread
4 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 6-9 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: open-meteo-history + open-meteo-forecast.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-07-22 10/10 Dry / Fast 2.2 mm
2026-07-23 8/10 Good 36.2 mm
2026-07-24 8/10 Good 10.9 mm
2026-07-25 8/10 Good 12.4 mm
2026-07-26 9/10 Dry / Fast 4.2 mm
2026-07-27 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.3 mm
2026-07-28 9/10 Dry / Fast -

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Other Us-nc mud forecast pages → More routes in Pisgah / Brevard → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →