Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Odessa Lake Trail

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Odessa Lake Trail in Rocky Mountain / Estes Park, Us-co.

US-CO / Rocky Mountain / Estes Park

Odessa Lake Trail

Length: 0.52 km

Surface Score
4 /10
Likely Muddy
Odessa Lake Trail has high mud risk and is likely muddy or waterlogged today due to 15.2 mm of rain in the last 48 hours. Consider avoiding or using paved fallbacks.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Wait for drying The current model state points to wet or muddy conditions. Riding may be slow and damaging.
Heavy recent rain 10.6 mm fell in the last 24h. Expect standing water and soft edges.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Last updated: 2026-07-28 06:27 MDT (America/Denver) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is wet / muddy today

  • Surface: holds water and can become muddy.
  • Recent rain: heavy rain (10.6 mm) in the last 24h, saturating the ground.
  • Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Ground
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Saturated soft ground. Significant risk of deep ruts, deforming under load, and local washouts.
 High
Recent rain
15.2 mm in 48h, 16.1 mm in 72h.
 10.6 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 1.08x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 14.3 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 54%
Cloud Cover
Overcast skies block direct sun, reducing drying speed.
 0%
Segment spread
2 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 3-6 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: open-meteo-history + open-meteo-forecast.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-07-22 8/10 Good 4.1 mm
2026-07-23 8/10 Good 9.3 mm
2026-07-24 7/10 Good 5.7 mm
2026-07-25 7/10 Good 1.7 mm
2026-07-26 8/10 Good 3.1 mm
2026-07-27 7/10 Good 10.3 mm
2026-07-28 7/10 Good -

Explore Loamcast

Other Us-co mud forecast pages → More routes in Rocky Mountain / Estes Park → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →