Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Chemin de la Montagne

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Chemin de la Montagne in Jura, Ch.

CH / Jura

Chemin de la Montagne

Length: 6.66 km

Surface Score
9 /10
Rideable
Chemin de la Montagne is in dry, fast condition today. Recommended for all off-road activities.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Good window now Current model state is dry enough for normal riding on this object.
Weather degraded Weather coverage is degraded for this location. Treat the score as lower confidence until the cache refreshes.
Last updated: 2026-08-07 02:21 CEST (Europe/Zurich) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is dry / fast today

  • Surface: gravel surface usually drains faster than dirt, but loose sections can stay damp after rain.
  • Recent rain: no measurable rain in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Gravel
Road Solidity
Hard-packed gravel/stone with minimal loose material.
 Compacted Gravel
Moisture Sensitivity
Drains moderately, but loose spots or potholes can hold moisture.
 Medium
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
0.0 mm in 48h, 11.4 mm in 72h.
 0.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.47x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 23.3 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 45%
Winter Surface State
No material freeze-thaw signal was detected in available temperature history.
 Normal
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
7 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 8-10 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: meteoswiss.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-01 10/10 Dry / Fast 2.0 mm
2026-08-02 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-03 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.3 mm
2026-08-04 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.8 mm
2026-08-05 10/10 Dry / Fast 1.7 mm
2026-08-06 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.1 mm
2026-08-07 9/10 Dry / Fast -

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Other Ch mud forecast pages → More routes in Jura → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →