Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Kelburn High Estate Road

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Kelburn High Estate Road in Southwest Scotland, Gb-sct.

GB-SCT / Southwest Scotland

Kelburn High Estate Road

Length: 3.13 km

Surface Score
9 /10
Rideable
Kelburn High Estate Road is in dry, fast condition today. Recommended for all off-road activities.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Good window now Current model state is dry enough for normal riding on this object.
Low rain memory Recent rain totals are low, so weather is not currently pushing the model toward mud.
Hard surface The mapped surface should shed water faster than dirt or clay sections.
Last updated: 2026-08-08 01:21 BST (Europe/London) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is dry / fast today

  • Surface: paved surface drains quickly and does not accumulate mud.
  • Recent rain: no measurable rain in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Unpaved
Road Solidity
Semi-compacted natural soil mixed with gravel base.
 Mixed Dirt & Gravel
Moisture Sensitivity
Drains moderately, but loose spots or potholes can hold moisture.
 Medium
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
0.0 mm in 48h, 0.0 mm in 72h.
 0.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.28x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 13.4 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 93%
Winter Surface State
Temperature history is insufficient to classify the winter surface state.
 Unknown
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
5 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 8-10 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: metoffice-datahub-land-observations.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-02 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-03 10/10 Dry / Fast 3.9 mm
2026-08-04 9/10 Dry / Fast 23.0 mm
2026-08-05 8/10 Good 11.4 mm
2026-08-06 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.6 mm
2026-08-07 9/10 Dry / Fast 3.7 mm
2026-08-08 9/10 Dry / Fast -

Explore Loamcast

Other Gb-sct mud forecast pages → More routes in Southwest Scotland → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →