Dry Mixed Muddy

Before you ride, run or hike Grange Lane

Is the whole route dry and open?

No opening status is verified here. This is a model estimate; local puddles, damage and closures may differ. Representative point; not verified weather coverage of every route section Follow land-manager notices.

When will this route dry?

A current surface score does not establish a drying time. Check the rainfall observation time, refresh stale inputs and review local reports before leaving.

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How the model works · Limitations · Explore routes in Northern Ireland

Loamcast Intelligence

Current modeled condition for Grange Lane

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Grange Lane in Northern Ireland, Northern Ireland.

NORTHERN IRELAND / Northern Ireland

Current condition

Length: 1.19 km

Surface Score
9 /10
Model suggests drier conditions
The model suggests a drier surface. Check shaded sections, low spots and local access notices; this is not confirmation that the whole route is dry or open.

How to use this estimate: Loamcast combines available weather, surface, soil, terrain, and hydrology signals to identify sections worth checking before a ride, run, or hike. It is a planning aid, not a physical inspection or safety guarantee.

Good window now Current model state is dry enough for normal riding on this object.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Recorded model / page update: 2026-09-19 08:03 BST (Europe/London) Rainfall observation time: 2026-09-19T01:15:00+00:00 Weather status: fresh History: 7 recorded days

Inputs behind this estimate

  • Surface: paved surface drains quickly and does not accumulate mud.
  • Recent rain: light rain (3.0 mm) in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: unimproved track grade, prone to holding standing water.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Paved
Road Solidity
Unconsolidated natural soil, highly deformable.
 Unimproved Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
4.2 mm in 48h, 5.4 mm in 72h.
 3.0 mm / 24h
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 15.5 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 98%
Segment spread
5 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 8-10 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: metoffice-datahub-land-observations + Met Office radar rainfall estimate (British Crown copyright, CC BY-SA).
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-09-13 10/10 Dry / Fast -
2026-09-14 10/10 Dry / Fast -
2026-09-15 10/10 Dry / Fast -
2026-09-16 10/10 Dry / Fast -
2026-09-17 10/10 Dry / Fast -
2026-09-18 10/10 Dry / Fast -
2026-09-19 9/10 Dry / Fast -

Explore Loamcast

Other modeled conditions in Northern Ireland → More routes in Northern Ireland → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this estimate → Model limitations & disclaimer →