Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Sentier de la Wiltz

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Sentier de la Wiltz in Northwest Luxembourg, Lu.

LU / Northwest Luxembourg

Sentier de la Wiltz

Length: 3.56 km

Surface Score
10 /10
Rideable
Sentier de la Wiltz is in dry, fast condition today. Recommended for all off-road activities.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Good window now Current model state is dry enough for normal riding on this object.
Low rain memory Recent rain totals are low, so weather is not currently pushing the model toward mud.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Weather degraded Weather coverage is degraded for this location. Treat the score as lower confidence until the cache refreshes.
Last updated: 2026-08-07 02:21 CEST (Europe/Luxembourg) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is dry / fast today

  • Surface: holds water and can become muddy.
  • Recent rain: no measurable rain in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: High — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Ground
Road Solidity
Loose soil or sand, deforms under pressure.
 Soft / Loose Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
0.0 mm in 48h, 0.0 mm in 72h.
 0.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.28x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 15.1 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 61%
Winter Surface State
Temperature history is insufficient to classify the winter surface state.
 Unknown
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
10 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 8-10 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: meteolux.
 High

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-01 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-02 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-03 10/10 Dry / Fast 3.6 mm
2026-08-04 10/10 Dry / Fast 9.0 mm
2026-08-05 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-06 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-07 10/10 Dry / Fast -

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Other Lu mud forecast pages → More routes in Northwest Luxembourg → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →