Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Dabas taka

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Dabas taka in Sigulda, Lv.

LV / Sigulda

Dabas taka

Length: 0.66 km

Surface Score
7 /10
Rideable / Mostly Dry
Dabas taka is generally rideable today, but soft shaded sections may still be damp after 13.1 mm of rain in the last 48 hours.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Generally rideable Conditions look usable, with minor damp spots still possible in shaded or lower sections.
Still drying Rain is mostly older, but the 48h total is 13.1 mm. Shaded sections may lag behind the headline score.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Last updated: 2026-08-13 03:22 EEST (Europe/Riga) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is good today

  • Surface: holds water and can become muddy.
  • Recent rain: moderate rain (13.1 mm) in the last 48h; surface is still drying.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Ground
Road Solidity
Semi-compacted natural soil mixed with gravel base.
 Mixed Dirt & Gravel
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Saturated soft ground. Significant risk of deep ruts, deforming under load, and local washouts.
 High
Recent rain
13.1 mm in 48h, 0.0 mm in 72h.
 1.4 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.82x
Winter Surface State
Temperature history is insufficient to classify the winter surface state.
 Unknown
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
2 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 6-7 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: lvgmc-lv.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-07 10/10 Dry / Fast 2.5 mm
2026-08-08 10/10 Dry / Fast 2.8 mm
2026-08-09 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-10 9/10 Dry / Fast 7.5 mm
2026-08-11 9/10 Dry / Fast 7.3 mm
2026-08-12 9/10 Dry / Fast 2.2 mm
2026-08-13 7/10 Good -

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Other Lv mud forecast pages → More routes in Sigulda → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →