Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Bangor Trail

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Bangor Trail in Northwest Ireland, Ie.

IE / Northwest Ireland

Bangor Trail

Length: 13.67 km

Surface Score
8 /10
Rideable / Mostly Dry
Bangor Trail is in dry, fast condition today. Recommended for all off-road activities.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Generally rideable Conditions look usable, with minor damp spots still possible in shaded or lower sections.
Low rain memory Recent rain totals are low, so weather is not currently pushing the model toward mud.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Weather degraded Weather coverage is degraded for this location. Treat the score as lower confidence until the cache refreshes.
Last updated: 2026-08-07 01:21 IST (Europe/Dublin) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is good today

  • Surface: paved surface drains quickly and does not accumulate mud.
  • Recent rain: no measurable rain in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: unimproved track grade, prone to holding standing water.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Unpaved
Road Solidity
Unconsolidated natural soil, highly deformable.
 Unimproved Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
0.0 mm in 48h, 0.0 mm in 72h.
 0.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.28x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 14.0 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 71%
Winter Surface State
Temperature history is insufficient to classify the winter surface state.
 Unknown
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
2 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 8-8 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: met-eireann-observations.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-01 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.2 mm
2026-08-02 9/10 Dry / Fast 11.2 mm
2026-08-03 9/10 Dry / Fast 6.3 mm
2026-08-04 9/10 Dry / Fast 6.1 mm
2026-08-05 9/10 Dry / Fast 7.6 mm
2026-08-06 9/10 Dry / Fast 1.7 mm
2026-08-07 8/10 Good -

Explore Loamcast

Other Ie mud forecast pages → More routes in Northwest Ireland → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →