Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for LIgne de Mézy à Romilly-sur-Seine

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for LIgne de Mézy à Romilly-sur-Seine in Northeast France, Fr.

FR / Northeast France

LIgne de Mézy à Romilly-sur-Seine

Length: 9.87 km

Surface Score
9 /10
Rideable
LIgne de Mézy à Romilly-sur-Seine is in dry, fast condition today. Recommended for all off-road activities.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Good window now Current model state is dry enough for normal riding on this object.
Low rain memory Recent rain totals are low, so weather is not currently pushing the model toward mud.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Weather degraded Weather coverage is degraded for this location. Treat the score as lower confidence until the cache refreshes.
Last updated: 2026-08-07 02:21 CEST (Europe/Paris) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is dry / fast today

  • Surface: unpaved road class, typical drainage characteristics.
  • Recent rain: no measurable rain in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: High — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Stone
Road Solidity
Loose soil or sand, deforms under pressure.
 Soft / Loose Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Dry or paved base. Minimal risk of ruts, pooling, or washouts.
 Low
Recent rain
0.0 mm in 48h, 0.2 mm in 72h.
 0.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 0.29x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 14.9 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 57%
Cloud Cover
Overcast skies block direct sun, reducing drying speed.
 0%
Winter Surface State
No material freeze-thaw signal was detected in available temperature history.
 Normal
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
4 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 8-10 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: meteo-france-observations + meteo-france-arome.
 High

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-01 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.5 mm
2026-08-02 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-03 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.6 mm
2026-08-04 9/10 Dry / Fast 3.6 mm
2026-08-05 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.8 mm
2026-08-06 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-07 9/10 Dry / Fast -

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Other Fr mud forecast pages → More routes in Northeast France → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →