Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Karhunpolku

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Karhunpolku in Southeast Finland, Fi.

FI / Southeast Finland

Karhunpolku

Length: 10.68 km

Surface Score
5 /10
Mixed / Drying
Karhunpolku has mixed conditions with damp/muddy spots, currently drying after 74.2 mm of recent rain. Use caution on soft unpaved sections.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Use judgment Expect mixed surface conditions. Avoid low spots and turn back if the surface is deforming under tyres.
Heavy recent rain 73.9 mm fell in the last 24h. Expect standing water and soft edges.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Weather degraded Weather coverage is degraded for this location. Treat the score as lower confidence until the cache refreshes.
Last updated: 2026-08-07 03:21 EEST (Europe/Helsinki) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is mixed / damp today

  • Surface: holds water and can become muddy.
  • Recent rain: heavy rain (73.9 mm) in the last 24h, saturating the ground.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Ground
Road Solidity
Loose soil or sand, deforms under pressure.
 Soft / Loose Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Saturated soft ground. Significant risk of deep ruts, deforming under load, and local washouts.
 High
Recent rain
74.2 mm in 48h, 78.5 mm in 72h.
 73.9 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 1.23x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 14.2 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 100%
Winter Surface State
No material freeze-thaw signal was detected in available temperature history.
 Normal
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
21 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 4-7 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: fmi-opendata.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-01 10/10 Dry / Fast 7.0 mm
2026-08-02 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.3 mm
2026-08-03 10/10 Dry / Fast 2.0 mm
2026-08-04 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-05 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-06 10/10 Dry / Fast 6.4 mm
2026-08-07 5/10 Mixed / Damp -

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