Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Selänvaara

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Selänvaara in Northeast Finland, Fi.

FI / Northeast Finland

Selänvaara

Length: 5.74 km

Surface Score
6 /10
Mixed / Drying
Selänvaara has mixed conditions with damp/muddy spots, currently drying after 68.0 mm of recent rain. Use caution on soft unpaved sections.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Use judgment Expect mixed surface conditions. Avoid low spots and turn back if the surface is deforming under tyres.
Heavy recent rain 67.0 mm fell in the last 24h. Expect standing water and soft edges.
Last updated: 2026-08-11 03:21 EEST (Europe/Helsinki) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is mixed / damp today

  • Surface: unpaved road class, typical drainage characteristics.
  • Recent rain: heavy rain (67.0 mm) in the last 24h, saturating the ground.
  • Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Compacted
Road Solidity
Asphalt, concrete, or extremely hard-compacted stone base.
 Solid / Paved
Moisture Sensitivity
Excellent water runoff. Structure remains firm and mud-free.
 Low
Rutting & Washout Risk
Saturated soft ground. Significant risk of deep ruts, deforming under load, and local washouts.
 High
Recent rain
68.0 mm in 48h, 77.0 mm in 72h.
 67.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 2.39x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 10.9 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 98%
Winter Surface State
No material freeze-thaw signal was detected in available temperature history.
 Normal
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
4 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 6-7 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: fmi-opendata.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-05 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-06 10/10 Dry / Fast 12.5 mm
2026-08-07 10/10 Dry / Fast 16.5 mm
2026-08-08 10/10 Dry / Fast 5.7 mm
2026-08-09 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.5 mm
2026-08-10 10/10 Dry / Fast 20.2 mm
2026-08-11 6/10 Mixed / Damp -

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