Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Ailanganniementie

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Ailanganniementie in Northeast Finland, Fi.

FI / Northeast Finland

Ailanganniementie

Length: 6.06 km

Surface Score
9 /10
Rideable
Ailanganniementie is generally rideable today, but soft shaded sections may still be damp after 10.0 mm of rain in the last 48 hours.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Good window now Current model state is dry enough for normal riding on this object.
Still drying Rain is mostly older, but the 48h total is 10.0 mm. Shaded sections may lag behind the headline score.
Soft-surface sensitivity This surface class can deteriorate quickly after rain; treat puddles and rutting as a stronger signal than the average score.
Last updated: 2026-08-10 03:22 EEST (Europe/Helsinki) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is dry / fast today

  • Surface: unpaved road class, typical drainage characteristics.
  • Recent rain: moderate rain (10.0 mm) in the last 48h; surface is still drying.
  • Terrain: forest cover reduces sun exposure, slowing down surface drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Sand
Road Solidity
Loose soil or sand, deforms under pressure.
 Soft / Loose Earth
Moisture Sensitivity
Absorbs water quickly and turns soft. Dries slowly, especially under tree canopy.
 High
Rutting & Washout Risk
Saturated soft ground. Significant risk of deep ruts, deforming under load, and local washouts.
 High
Recent rain
10.0 mm in 48h, 79.9 mm in 72h.
 1.0 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 1.34x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 13.5 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 91%
Winter Surface State
No material freeze-thaw signal was detected in available temperature history.
 Normal
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
5 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 7-9 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: fmi-opendata.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-04 10/10 Dry / Fast 10.7 mm
2026-08-05 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.0 mm
2026-08-06 9/10 Dry / Fast 8.1 mm
2026-08-07 9/10 Dry / Fast 6.6 mm
2026-08-08 9/10 Dry / Fast 5.0 mm
2026-08-09 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.1 mm
2026-08-10 9/10 Dry / Fast -

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Other Fi mud forecast pages → More routes in Northeast Finland → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →