Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Nurmeslehdontie

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Nurmeslehdontie in Central Finland, Fi.

FI / Central Finland

Nurmeslehdontie

Length: 8.12 km

Surface Score
4 /10
Likely Muddy
Nurmeslehdontie has high mud risk and is likely muddy or waterlogged today due to 130.5 mm of rain in the last 48 hours. Consider avoiding or using paved fallbacks.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Wait for drying The current model state points to wet or muddy conditions. Riding may be slow and damaging.
Heavy recent rain 92.8 mm fell in the last 24h. Expect standing water and soft edges.
Last updated: 2026-08-11 03:21 EEST (Europe/Helsinki) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is wet / muddy today

  • Surface: gravel surface usually drains faster than dirt, but loose sections can stay damp after rain.
  • Recent rain: heavy rain (92.8 mm) in the last 24h, saturating the ground.
  • Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
  • Confidence: Medium — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Gravel
Road Solidity
Hard-packed gravel/stone with minimal loose material.
 Compacted Gravel
Moisture Sensitivity
Drains moderately, but loose spots or potholes can hold moisture.
 Medium
Rutting & Washout Risk
Saturated soft ground. Significant risk of deep ruts, deforming under load, and local washouts.
 High
Recent rain
130.5 mm in 48h, 164.4 mm in 72h.
 92.8 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 2.50x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 12.9 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 97%
Winter Surface State
No material freeze-thaw signal was detected in available temperature history.
 Normal
Freeze-Thaw Risk
Risk of top surface layer thawing into a mud slurry while underneath stays frozen.
 0%
Segment spread
2 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 4-5 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: fmi-opendata.
 Medium

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-08-05 10/10 Dry / Fast 0.5 mm
2026-08-06 9/10 Dry / Fast 12.3 mm
2026-08-07 9/10 Dry / Fast 8.2 mm
2026-08-08 9/10 Dry / Fast 9.3 mm
2026-08-09 9/10 Dry / Fast 0.8 mm
2026-08-10 8/10 Good 16.0 mm
2026-08-11 4/10 Wet / Muddy -

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Other Fi mud forecast pages → More routes in Central Finland → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →