Dry Mixed Muddy
Loamcast Intelligence

Condition Forecast for Leśna

Estimated trail surface condition and wetness breakdown for Leśna in Beskydy, Czechia.

CZECHIA / Beskydy

Leśna

Length: 0.70 km

Surface Score
5 /10
Mixed / Drying
Leśna has mixed conditions with damp/muddy spots, currently drying after 10.4 mm of recent rain. Use caution on soft unpaved sections.

Why this matters: Loamcast provides an automated mud forecast and MTB trail conditions overview to assess wet trail risk. By analyzing recent weather, soil, and terrain elevation signals, it operates as an off-road cycling route checker and GPX route condition analysis tool, helping riders evaluate gravel route conditions before heading out.

Use judgment Expect mixed surface conditions. Avoid low spots and turn back if the surface is deforming under tyres.
Last updated: 2026-07-28 06:20 CEST (Europe/Prague) Weather window: last 72h History: 7 recorded days

Why this road is mixed / damp today

  • Surface: unpaved road class, typical drainage characteristics.
  • Recent rain: light rain (9.9 mm) in the last 24h.
  • Terrain: no strong lowland/water-retention signal; open exposure aids drying.
  • Confidence: High — based on weather and terrain models; no recent user observations are available.

Condition Breakdown

Surface
Used as a drainage and grip modifier in the condition model.
 Compacted
Road Solidity
Asphalt, concrete, or extremely hard-compacted stone base.
 Solid / Paved
Moisture Sensitivity
Excellent water runoff. Structure remains firm and mud-free.
 Low
Rutting & Washout Risk
Damp or loose base. Risk of minor washouts, soft edges, and standing water puddles.
 Moderate
Recent rain
10.4 mm in 48h, 10.4 mm in 72h.
 9.9 mm / 24h
Weather pressure
Multiplier from current weather state and recent precipitation memory.
 1.09x
Temperature
Affects drying rate via surface evaporation.
 10.2 °C
Humidity
High relative humidity slows down surface moisture evaporation.
 100%
Cloud Cover
Overcast skies block direct sun, reducing drying speed.
 100%
Segment spread
2 mapped segment(s) scored for this object.
 3-7 / 10
Confidence
Weather source: chmi-10m + open-meteo-forecast.
 High

Recorded 7-Day Condition History

Date Score Label Rain
2026-07-22 7/10 Good -
2026-07-23 7/10 Good -
2026-07-24 6/10 Mixed / Damp -
2026-07-25 6/10 Mixed / Damp -
2026-07-26 7/10 Good -
2026-07-27 7/10 Good -
2026-07-28 7/10 Good -

Explore Loamcast

Other Czechia mud forecast pages → More routes in Beskydy → Explore Loamcast methodology → Data sources for this forecast → Model limitations & disclaimer →